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Saturday, December 4, 2010

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers, -9, 41

When the 49ers travel to Lambeau Field to play the Packers on Sunday, they will be trying to get their first win in Wisconsin in around 15 years. The 49ers task will get a little bit harder without their top running back for the rest of the season in Frank Gore, he fractured his right hip at the beginning of the Monday Night Football game last week against the Cardinals. San Francisco will be relying on Brian Westbrook and Anthony Dixon to carry the load against on of the stingiest run defenses in football led by linebacker Clay Matthews. The Packers are currently scoring 7.5 more points a game than San Francisco and allowing 5.5 points less; to me, that is a great formula for victory.

Before the 49ers win in Arizona on Monday Night Football, San Francisco was 0-3 on the road and 0-3 ATS, I simply do not see San Francisco coming out and showing the same type of performance in Green Bay in back-to-back weeks. Green Bay is 6-1 against the spread against the 49ers in their last 7 meetings in Lambeau and with Troy Smith and the Westbrook/Dixon combination, I do not think the 49ers offense will be enough to match the onslaught Aaron Rodgers will put on the Niners defense after getting slowed down by the Falcons last week. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 40 career touchdowns at home in his career and threw for 344 yards, 2 touchdowns and zero interceptions in his only game versus San Francisco. The smart lean in this matchup is with Green Bay to overwhelm the reeling 49ers.


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