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Thursday, December 9, 2010

Oakland Raiders Jaguars NFL Pick

Oakland Raiders (6-6) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (7-5)

NFL Point Spread: Jaguars -4 O/U 43

By: Barrett Kazmerzack of Coopers Pick CALL NOW 1-888-730-COOP

The Raiders got back in the playoff picture with an impressive 28-13 win over the
San Diego Chargers last week. They will be facing a Jaguars squad that has won
4 of their last 5 games and is in first place in the AFC South with a slim 1 game
lead over the Indianapolis Colts. The Jags looked stellar on defense last week in
their 17-6 win over the Titans. Can either team play any rushing defense in this
game? That is the big question and the team that can do it has a great chance to

QB David Garrard leads the Jaguars, but they only have the league’s 29th
ranked passing attack and running the ball is their strength. In their last 5 games
Jacksonville has averaged 184.8 rushing yards per game and RB Maurice
Jones-Drew has 5 straight 100+ yard games, which is the longest streak in the
league. That is not good for the Raiders, who are legit at defending the pass
ranking 9th in the league, but weak at defending the run ranking 23rd. However,
in their last game they held the Chargers to only 21 rushing yards, but will face a
stiffer test this Sunday against the Jags. If Oakland can contain Jones and force
Garrard to air it out they have a chance to win this road game.

In the win over the Chargers last week the Raiders rushed for 251 yards and the
RB duo of Darren McFadden and Michael Bush combined to rush for 192 yards.
They will be facing a Jacksonville rushing defense that ranks 17th in the league
and last week held Titans’ RB Chris Johnson to only 53 yards on the ground.

The Jags have been torched through the air this season having the league’s
27th ranked passing offense. Oakland QB Jason Campbell will get the start this
weekend and his season has been up and down. In the win over the Chargers he
was only 10/16 for 117 yards with 1 TD, but he did not have to air it out since the
Raiders’ rushing attack could not be stopped. Much like the Oakland defense the
Jacksonville D has to defend the run well and force the Raiders to win through
the air.

The Jags have to play good special teams’ defense, as the Raiders have 5 kick
return TD’s.

The Raiders may have to keep this a low scoring game, as the Jaguars are 12-1
in the last 2 seasons then they score over 20 points.

This season the Raiders are 7-5 ATS and the Jaguars are 8-4 ATS. In a couple
of interesting betting trends for this game Jacksonville is 0-7 ATS in their last 7
games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 and Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
as a road underdog.

Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and Jacksonville is 7-15 in their
last 22 home games.

Free Pick: I don’t think either team will play much run defense, but I do think Jason
Campbell will have a good game and that will be the difference. The Raiders will
win this game in an upset and move above .500 for the season.

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