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Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Dallas Cowboys Baltimore Ravens Pick

Dallas Cowboys vs. Baltimore Ravens Preview

NFL Football Point Spread: Ravens -3.5 O/U 44

Sunday October 14, 2012 1 PM EST FOX

By: Barrett Kazmerzack of Coopers Pick CALL NOW for a FREE PICK Against the Spread 1-888-730-2667

After struggling for the first few games the Ravens (4-1) defense played great in their last game only allowing 6 points in a win over Kansas City. They are atop the AFC North Division and are facing a well-rested Dallas team that is coming off a bye.

The Cowboys needed the extra week, as in their last game they lost badly to the Chicago Bears with Tony Romo getting picked off 5 times. The Cowboys are only at 2-2 and they could really use a win to keep pace with the Eagles and the Giants in the tough NFC East.

The Ravens are 3-0 at home this season the Cowboys are 1-1 on the road.

Last Sunday the Ravens beat the Kansas City Chiefs 9-6 while the Cowboys had a bye and in their last game they were embarrassed on Monday night losing to the Chicago Bears 34-18.

On the season the Cowboys are 1-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 1-3 and the Ravens are 2-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-2.

Not all of the 5 picks were Romo’s fault, but he has to get back on track in this game. The Ravens did shut down the Chiefs’ passing offense, but Matt Cassel is no Tony Romo and Baltimore and their 23rd ranked pass defense must play well in this game.

The Baltimore D gave up over 210 rushing yards to the Chiefs in the win last week and that is a concern. Still, one of the big weaknesses of the Cowboys this season has been RB DeMarco Murray and their 29th ranked rushing offense. Murray is the lead back, but he only has 237 rushing yards in the 4 Dallas games, he had 24 rushing yards in the loss to Chicago, and he is only averaging 3.9 yards per carry.

Joe Flacco did not have a great game against the Chiefs, as he did not throw a TD and he had a pick only passing for 187 yards. He has a solid set of WR’s in Torrey Smith and Anquan Boldin, who are each averaging over 14 yards per catch, and they will face a legit Dallas pass D that is the top ranked unit in the league.

While Flacco struggled a tad against the Chiefs Ray Rice rushed for over 100 yards, which he has done in 2 of his last 3 games. The Cowboys run defense ranks 15th in the league and they held the Bears to under 100 rushing yards in their last game even though they lost the game.

Cowboys vs. Ravens Key Betting Trends

The Cowboys have only covered the spread in 2 of their last 7 games on the road and in their last 5 road games the posted total has gone Over every time.

The Ravens have only covered the spread in 1 of their last 6 home games and in their last 7 home games the posted total has gone Under 5 times.

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

San Francisco 49ers New York Jets Spread Pick

San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Jets Preview and Betting Picks Against the Spread

NFL Football Point Spread: 49ers -4 O/U 40

Sunday September 30, 2012 1 PM EST FOX

By: Barrett Kazmerzack of Coopers Pick CALL NOW FOR A FREE PICK for Sundays Game at: 1-888-730-2667

The 49ers (2-1) may have overlooked the Vikings last week and they struggled on offense in suffering their first loss to the season. The did not look good on both sides of the ball and they face a Jets team this week that did not look good in their last win and lost their defensive leader.

The Jets won in OT last week, but it was against the Dolphins. The win was a costly one, as the lost CB Darrelle Revis to a knee injury and he is out for the season and that is a big loss.

Last week the Jets barely got by the Miami Dolphins winning 23-20 in OT and the 49ers lost to the Minnesota Vikings 24-13.

On the season the 49ers are 2-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 1-1-1 and the Jets are 2-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-1.

Alex Smith leads the 49ers and their 24th ranked passing offense and he had his long streak of not getting picked off snapped last week. Randy Moss only had 3 catches last week and Smith and company may be trouble for a Jets’ pass defense that has been decent, but may really struggle without Revis.

Frank Gore was decent last week, but did not get many touches. Look for that to change facing a New York defense that only ranks 28th in the league. The 49ers need to get back to running the ball and playing solid defense, which are their strengths.

Mark Sanchez passed for over 300 yards last week with 1 TD, but he also threw 2 INT. He does not have the best WR corps and will be facing a San Francisco pass defense that ranks 13th in the league. The 49ers secondary only has 2 INT on the season.

The 49ers were awesome last season defending the run and while they rank 8th in the league in that department they allowed Adrian Peterson and the Vikings to rush for 146 yards last week. Sanchez is not getting much help from RB Shonn Greene, who is averaging less than 3 yards per carry on the young season.

The Jets are at 2-1 tied atop the NFC East with the Bills and the 49ers are tied with the Seahawks at 2-1 1 game behind the surprising Arizona Cardinals.

49ers vs. Jets Betting Trends

The 49ers have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games facing a team that has a winning record and in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record they have an Under record of 3-1-1.

The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and in their last 6 home games the posted total has gone Over 5 times.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the underdog has covered the spread every time.

Monday, January 30, 2012

2012 NFL Super Bowl Preview

NFL Super Bowl Preview: How The Giants can Beat the Patriots

The Super Bowl betting is picking up speed as the big game approaches. The New England Patriots are currently -2 ½ in the odds, but that does not necessarily mean that the Patriots have this Super Bowl victory locked up. The last time these two teams met in a Super Bowl was in 2008 at Super Bowl XLII. The price per head sports experts remember that the Patriots were 18-0 heading into that game and heavy favorites to beat New York and be the first team to ever finish a season 19-0. But a combination of several factors helped to keep the Giants in the game and, eventually, New York would prevail.

The Giants have just as much chance of winning Super Bowl XLVI as it did to win Super Bowl XLII. The bookie software has dropped the odds a full point in the last few days based on people betting heavily on the Giants. Lets take a look at why so many people are picking the Giants to upset the Patriots again in the Super Bowl.

The Giants’ offense was having problems around mid-season and it looked like the Giants may fall out of a playoff spot for the third year in a row. The main problem for the Giants was the lack of a running game. But quarterback Eli Manning continued to perform well and protect the ball from being turned over. In the two previous years, Manning had developed a bad habit of fumbling the ball or throwing an interception at the wrong times. This season, Manning has been extremely efficient with the football and broke the NFL regular season record for most touchdowns passes in the fourth quarter. A betonline.com review of the New York offense so far in the playoffs shows that the running game is making a comeback and Eli is still as efficient as ever. When the struggles of the New England defense are taken into account, it looks like the Giants have a chance to be very effective in this game.

The way that a defense can beat the New England Patriots is to get pressure on Tom Brady, have linebackers that can cover the underneath pass and bring up the safeties to cover the two New England tight ends. With New England tight end Rob Gronkowski injured, that makes covering the tight ends a little easier.

The NFL scores that the Patriots have been able to post so far this season have been against defenses that do not have the ability to play the multi-faceted game that the Giants can play. To this point in the playoffs, the Patriots have not played a defense like the one the Giants have. The one time that New England did play the Giants in the 2011 regular season, the Giants defense was very effective against the Patriots’ offense and New York won the game. The Patriots can expect a much better New York defense in this Super Bowl and that could be big problems for the Patriots.


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