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Friday, January 15, 2010

Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts

Baltimore at Indianapolis
Saturday, 8:15 pm Eastern – CBS

The Indianapolis Colts may be the top seed and the favorite to get to the Super Bowl Odds but quarterback Peyton Manning and the rest of the starters haven’t played a full game in almost a month. The Colts rested their starters down the stretch and people really won’t say too much as long as the Colts win on Saturday. The problem for Indianapolis is that they are 0-3 in the playoffs after having a bye week and in this case they have really had three weeks off. "Every year, we think we've got to win it and we feel as a group that we probably should have won more Super Bowls in this decade," defensive end Dwight Freeney said. "There's probably more pressure with that than what's being said about 16-0."

Indianapolis is a 6 point favorite at SBG Global with a total of 44.

Baltimore definitely doesn’t have the rust issue to deal with as they have played meaningful games for the past few weeks. They had to win three of their last four games just to make the playoffs and then routed New England 33-14 last week in the Wild Card round. The Ravens used that route last year to reach the AFC Championship game and they hope to do so again on Saturday. "Our younger guys can draw on the experience of the guys who have been there before, but it's a different year and a different team and this is a new week," coach John Harbaugh said.

Indianapolis has done very well against Baltimore lately, winning the last seven games. It was tough earlier this season though as the Ravens had every chance to win before losing 17-15. Turnovers have been a huge problem for Baltimore in this series against the Colts as they have turned it over 25 times in the seven-game losing streak. Turnovers are the big key for the Ravens in terms of wins and losses. They have a +9 turnover differential in their last five NFL betting games.

Baltimore has won six road playoff games since 1996, the most of any NFL team. The Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the AFC. The Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings against the Colts.

The Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Colts are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the AFC.

The Under is 4-1-1 in the Ravens last 6 road games. The Over is 4-0 in the Colts last 4 games overall. The Under is 6-2 in the Colts last 8 playoff games. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between the two teams.

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