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Friday, November 29, 2013

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Pick & Spread Preview

NFL Football Point Spread: Broncos -4.5 O/U 48.5

Kick off for the Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs game is this Sunday December 1, 2013 at 4:25 PM EST and is televised live on CBS.

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The Chiefs and Broncos are meeting for the 2nd big is at stake in this game except first place in the AFC West. Both teams are coming off a losses and the Chiefs have lost 2 in a row.

In their loss a couple of weeks back to the Broncos the Chiefs gave up more than 17 points for the first time all season (27) an then last week they gave up 41 points in a loss to the San Diego Chargers.

The Broncos have also won consecutive games in Kansas City and they are 4-point away favorites in this game with a total of 48.5. The Broncos have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games facing the Chiefs.

The Chiefs’ pass rush has 37 sacks this season, but only 2 in their last 2 games and in their loss to the Broncos Payton Manning was not sacked once. Tamba Hali (9 sacks) and Justin Houston (11 sacks) are banged up and while Hall should play Houston is out.

The Chiefs’ defense will face a Denver offense that leads the league averaging 39 ppg and 451.5 yards per game. In their last games the Broncos lost a tough on 34-31 in OT to the New England Patriots and the Chiefs lost to the San Diego Chargers 41-38. On the season the Broncos are at 6-4-1 ATS and they have an O/U record of 9-2 and the Chiefs are at 6-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 3-8.

Manning was solid in the win over the Chiefs a couple of weeks back and he may have the deepest WR corps in the league. The pass rush needs to get to him and in their loss to San Diego last week the Chiefs gave up 387 passing yards.

Even in the loss to the Patriots’ Denver RB Knowshon Moreno had a big game with 224 rushing yards. KC gave up over 100 rushing yards to San Diego last week and overall their run D has struggled as of late and only ranks 20thleague.

In the San Diego loss Alex Smith played well with nearly 300 passing yards with 3 TD and he was picked off once. While not as deep as the Broncos WR corps Smith has some weapons on the outside that are legit threats and will face a time in 3 weeks and nothing

Denver pass D that has had their issues ranking 30th324 yards through the air to the Patriots. Jamaal Charles is the main weapon that the Chiefs have on offense and the Broncos contained him in the first meeting. He rushed for over 110 yards last week against he Charger and will face the strength of the Denver defense, which is their run D that ranks 5th

In some betting trends for this AFC West match up the The Broncos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games facing a team that has a winning record and in their last 6 road games they have an Over record of 5-1.

The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-4 in their last 4 games, and in their last 28 games at home they have an Under record of 21-7 in the league and giving up  in the league.
Source Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs Preview


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