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Thursday, January 6, 2011

New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts Pick Against the Spread

Against the Spread Pick New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts

New York Jets (10-6) vs. Indianapolis Colts (10-6)

NFL Football Point Spread: Colts -2.5 O/U 44.5

By: Barrett Kazmerzack of Coopers Pick CALL NOW 1-888-730-COOP

The Colts ended the season winning their last 4 games including beating the
Tennessee Titans 23-20 in their last game to wrap up the AFC South. The
Jets easily won their last game beating Buffalo 38-7 and they sat many of their
starters, so they should be well rested for this AFC playoff game.

This season the Jets are 9-7 ATS and the Colts are 8-7-1 ATS.

The Colts will be going as far as Peyton Manning takes them since he has not
got much help this season from their 29th ranked rushing offense. In the season
finale win the Colts did rush for 101 yards and it will make things a lot easier for
Manning if they can repeat that feat. However, that will not be easy against the
Jets and their 3rd ranked run defense.

The Jets also have a great pass defense ranking 6th in the league only allowing
an average of 200.6 passing yards per game. Shutdown CB Darrelle Revis was
a player that sat the Buffalo game out and he has one goal in this game and that
is to contain Manning’s main target in WR Reggie Wayne (111 rec 1,355 yards 6
TD).

The Jets can make things a lot easier on their secondary if they can pressure
Manning. While the Jets rank 8th in the league with 40 sacks the Indianapolis
offensive line was awesome this season giving up the fewest sacks in the
league.

Manning will likely have to put up some points in this game, as in the Colts last 4
games, which they all won, their D gave up an average of 24.5 points per game.

The Jets’ offense is led by their 4th ranked rushing attack led by the RB duo of
LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene, who also sat out the Buffalo game.
These guys may blow up in this game facing a Colts’ run defense that has
struggled all season and ranks 25th in the league. However, they stepped up in
the season finale win over the Titans holding them to only 51 rushing yards.

Mark Sanchez has had an up and down sophomore season leading the Jets and
their 22nd ranked passing offense. He has to limit his mistakes, as if he turns the
ball over the Jets’ lose. The Colts have a solid pass defense ranking 13th in the
league, but they only rank 30th in the league with 10 picks.

Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and New York is
7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.

Pick: Manning has to carry the load, as usual, and he will do so in this game.
Even though the Jets have a great pass defense he will light them up and the
Colts’ D will not stuff the run, but play decent and not allow the Jets to rack up a
ton of yards on the ground. The Colts will play well in front of their home crowd
and win and cover the spread.

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