NFL home and away betting tips

NFL home and away betting tips

 

So, there's been tons of debate on just how big of an edge home-field advantage gives a team.

Key factors like less interruptions, regular sleep patterns and how they impact a player's performance, or the noise levels from the hometown fans and whether or not officials play a role in home-field advantage. 

 

All important components to consider when wagering on any given NFL game.

And since sports bettors are always looking for tips to help improve their NFL betting, we've decided to look at some things to consider when it comes to placing bets on the home or away team. 

 

These are a few strategies that have been shown to be right most of the time. Of course, there is no 100 percent sure strategy, but this will give a betters some insight into how to wager when it comes to choosing the home dog or the road favorite.

 

So, let's start with the biggest question. Does the home team really have the advantage?

 

According to the experts — yes.

 

Statistics show that home-field advantage increases NFL team's chances of winning by 57.3 percent.

 

The reasons experts say are simple, and include the obvious theories like sleeping in your own bed and eating home cooking, to better familiarity with the home field and crowd support.

 

Other popular explanations are that home teams essentially get slightly preferential treatment from the officials. Case in point, analysts say that just over 60 percent of all soccer matches are won by the home team. For anyone that follows soccer, it's widely known that it is probably the one sport where the referee has more latitude to influence a game's outcome than the officials in other sport. But why not the NFL?

 

Of course that's not to say that an official's bias is on purpose, but rather an assimilation of the emotion of the home crowd.

So what about travel and the fatigue often associated with being the road team?

Some experts say that when athletes are at home, they don't seem to pass to catch the football any better, but others say a team's schedule and outcomes before a certain game, can have an effect. Like an extended road trip coupled with a string of losses.

 

It's definitely plausible that scheduling bias against the road team can play a factor in home-field advantage, particularly in the NFL where one Sunday afternoon game and a Thursday night game can take its toll on a team. 

 

With that being said, let's analyze a few factors.

 

Betting on the away team can sometimes yield big payouts, especially since odd makers often times label them as the underdog just for the fact they are on the road.

When betting on the away team there is one important thing to look at — how many road games have they played recently?

 

Although not a sure-fire system, bettors  should always bet against a team that is playing more than a second game in a row on the road.  Playing constantly on the road is an exhaustive process, so take advantage of this.

 

For betting on a road team that is playing two or less games away from home, gamblers can look at going against a favored away team that is trying to cover the spread for the second straight game. It is very hard for a team to cover the spread consecutively when on the road.

 

That brings us to why gamblers should bet on the home team.

The number one reason is, when the teams are evenly matched and the point spread is less to -2.5. In this case, we suggest always wagering on the home team, as they have the slightest advantage over the other team.

 

Secondly, if the home team is the underdog, bettors should take a chance and wager on the teams that won their previous away game while being the underdog, as they are now on home turf with excellent motivation.

 

Finally, has the home team won two or more consecutive games, especially as the underdog?

If so, then that's a good indictor they can get it home on their home turf.

Seattle Seahawks vs. St. Louis Rams Preview

NFL Football Point Spread: Seahawks -11 O/U 42.5

Monday October 28, 2013 8:30 PM EST ESPN / WatchESPN

By: Barrett Kazmerzack of Coopers Pick CALL NOW 1-888-730-2667

The Seahawks are 11-point road favorites in this NFC West match up and that is not surprising since Rams’ QB Sam Bradford is out for the season with a knee injury. Journeyman Kellen Clemens will take his spot and he is thrown into the fire right away facing a Seattle defense that ranks 2^nd in the league in yards allowed per game.

The Seahawks are in first place in the NFC West 1 game up on the San Francisco 49ers. Their rushing offense is solid and their defense has been great ranking 2^nd in the league against the pass and 5^th against the run.

Last season in St. Louis the Rams beat the Seahawks 19-13.

In their last games the Seahawks beat the St. Louis Cardinals 34-22 and the Rams lost to the Carolina Panthers 30-15.

On the season the Seahawks are 5-2 ATS and they have an O/U record of 4-3 and the Rams are 2-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 6-1.

Clemens has a decent, at best, WR corps and it is key that his offensive line plays well and gives him time facing a Seattle pass rush that has the 3^rd most sacks in the league.

With Bradford out the Rams may rely on the run more and rookie RB Zac Stacy, who has 210 yards on 49 carries in his 3 three starts. If the Seahawks and their solid run defense can shut him down they should be in good shape. 

Seattle QB Russell Wilson has not put up big numbers this season, but he has played great and has been able to move the chains with his arm and legs. He may get WR Percy Harvin back for this game, as he has missed the whole season with a hip injury. The Rams’ pass defense ranks 18^th in the league.

One major concern for the Rams have to be Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch. He played well in the Cardinals game with 91 rushing yards and he will be facing a St. Louis run defense that only ranks 30^th in the league. In the loss to the Panthers last week the Rams gave up over 100 yards on the ground.

The Rams have won 2 of their last 3 home games facing the Seahawks.

In some betting trends for the NFC West match up the Seahawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win, and in their last 5 games they have an Over record of 4-1.

The Rams are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games, and in their last 4 home games they have an Over record of 4-0.

The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.

NFL Picks Week 8 From Experts

We keep on trekking along and making big money for our clients this 2013 NFL Season. How have you been doing? Honestly evaluate your spreadsheet of wins and losses. Units wagered and return on initial investment. Odds are you are not doing better then us. That is okay because we are known as the sharpest handicapping group in the world and very few bettors do a better job then we do.

So here is how you get ahead. You want to pick games that we give you. Do not try to handicap on your own. Here are a few tips for this weeks games and the rest are for paid clients only. Bet against the Tampa Bay Bucs. Right now the spread is great but if it moves 1-3 points in the wrong direction then we no longer like this play.

Also the Ravens. They have been embarassing as super bowl champs. Luckily not as bad as the New York Giants but take the Ravens and the under for a parlay in week 8.

The rest of our NFL Picks against the spread for week 8 are available when you sign up above for text message plays, email newsletters, and or call for personal consulting.